{"id":7175,"date":"2023-11-08T11:39:34","date_gmt":"2023-11-08T11:39:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/?p=7175"},"modified":"2023-11-08T11:39:35","modified_gmt":"2023-11-08T11:39:35","slug":"podaci-isticu-potencijalni-put-bitcoina-ka-40-000-dolara-usred-globalne-ekonomske-turbulencije","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/2023\/11\/08\/podaci-isticu-potencijalni-put-bitcoina-ka-40-000-dolara-usred-globalne-ekonomske-turbulencije\/","title":{"rendered":"Podaci isti\u010du potencijalni put Bitcoina ka 40.000 dolara usred globalne ekonomske turbulencije"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Robustni podaci o Bitcoin derivatima ukazuju na sna\u017enu potra\u017enju za polugom dugovanjem.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bitcoin (BTC) trguje u uskom rasponu od 4.5% tokom posljednje dvije nedelje, \u0161to ukazuje na konsolidaciju oko oznake od $34,700.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Iako su cijene stagnirale, rast od 24.2% od 7. oktobra uliva poverenje, vo\u0111en o\u010dekivanjima od efekata “halvinga” 2024. godine i potencijalnog odobrenja spot Bitcoin berzanskog fonda (ETF) u Sjedinjenim Ameri\u010dkim Dr\u017eavama.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investitori brinu zbog pesimisti\u010dnog globalnog ekonomskog izgleda<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Medvjedi (investitori koji o\u010dekuju pad cijene) o\u010dekuju dalje makroekonomske podatke koji podr\u017eavaju globalnu ekonomsku kontrakciju dok Federalna rezerva Sjedinjenih Ameri\u010dkih Dr\u017eava odr\u017eava kamatnu stopu iznad 5.25% kako bi obuzdala inflaciju. Na primher, 6. novembra, kineski izvoz je smanjen za 6.4% u odnosu na isti mjesec pro\u0161le godine. Tako\u0111e, Njema\u010dka je 7. novembra izvjestila da je industrijska proizvodnja u oktobru pala za 1.4% u odnosu na prethodni mjesec.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Slabija globalna ekonomska aktivnost dovela je do pada cijena WTI nafte ispod $78 po prvi put od kraja jula, uprkos potencijalnim smanjenjima ponude od strane glavnih proizvo\u0111a\u010da nafte. Izjave predsjednika Federalne rezerve Minneapolisa, Neel Kashkarija, 6. novembra su postavile pesimisti\u010dan ton, podsti\u010du\u0107i “beg ka kvalitetu”.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kashkari je izjavio:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“Nismo potpuno rije\u0161ili problem inflacije. I dalje imamo vi\u0161e posla da to zavr\u0161imo.”<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investitori su potra\u017eili uto\u010di\u0161te u ameri\u010dkim trezorskim obveznicama, \u0161to je dovelo do pada prinosa na desetogodi\u0161nje obveznice na 4.55%, na najni\u017ei nivo u \u0161est nedelja. Zanimljivo je da je S&P 500 indeks berze dostigao 4,383 poena, najvi\u0161i nivo u gotovo sedam nedelja, suprotno o\u010dekivanjima tokom globalne ekonomske usporavanja.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ovaj fenomen se mo\u017ee pripisati \u010dinjenici da firme unutar S&P 500 indeksa ukupno imaju $2.6 biliona u gotovini i ekvivalentima, \u0161to pru\u017ea neku vrstu za\u0161tite dok kamatne stope ostaju visoke. Uprkos pove\u0107anju izlo\u017eenosti velikim tehnolo\u0161kim kompanijama, berza pru\u017ea i retkost i dividendni prinos, \u0161to se poklapa sa preferencama investitora tokom vremena nesigurnosti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

U me\u0111uvremenu, Bitcoin futures otvoreni interes je dostigao najvi\u0161i nivo od aprila 2022. godine, stoje\u0107i na $16.3 milijardi. Ovaj miljokaz je jo\u0161 zna\u010dajniji jer se \u010cik\u0161ka berza robe (CME) pozicionirala kao drugo najve\u0107e tr\u017ei\u0161te za BTC derivate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zdrava potra\u017enja za Bitcoin opcijama i budu\u0107im ugovorima<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Nedavna upotreba Bitcoin budu\u0107ih ugovora i opcija privukla je pa\u017enju medija. Potra\u017enja za polugom vjerovatno dolazi zbog onoga u \u0161ta investitori vjeruju da su dva najoptimisti\u010dnija katalizatora za 2024. godinu: potencijal za spot BTC ETF i “halving” Bitcoina.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jedan na\u010din da se procijeni zdravlje tr\u017ei\u0161ta je analizirati premiju Bitcoin futures ugovora, koja mjeri razliku izme\u0111u dvomjese\u010dnih futures ugovora i trenutne spot cijene. Na zdravom tr\u017ei\u0161tu, godi\u0161nja premija, poznata i kao osnovna stopa, obi\u010dno bi trebalo da padne unutar raspona od 5% do 10%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Primjetite kako je ovaj pokazatelj dostigao najvi\u0161i nivo u prethodnoj godini, na 11%. To ukazuje na sna\u017enu potra\u017enju za Bitcoin budu\u0107im ugovorima, \u0161to je prete\u017eno posljedica polugom vo\u0111enih dugih pozicija. Ako bi suprotno bilo istinito, sa investitorima koji se sna\u017eno klade na pad cijene Bitcoina, premija bi ostala na 5% ili ni\u017ea.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Drugi pokazatelj mo\u017ee se dobiti iz Bitcoin opcionskih tr\u017ei\u0161ta, porede\u0107i potra\u017enju izme\u0111u pozivnih (kupovina) i prodajnih (prodaja) opcija. Iako ova analiza ne obuhvata slo\u017eenije strategije, ona pru\u017ea \u0161iroki kontekst za razumijevanje investitorskog sentimenta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Tokom protekle nedelje, ovaj pokazatelj je prosje\u010dno iznosio 0.60, odra\u017eavaju\u0107i 40% naklonost pozivnim (kupovnim) opcijama. Interesantno je da je interesovanje za Bitcoin opcijama poraslo za 51% u posljednjih 30 dana, dostigav\u0161i $15.6 milijardi, a ovaj rast tako\u0111e pokre\u0107u optimisti\u010dni instrumenti, kako je nazna\u010deno podacima o odnosu prodaje i kupovine opcija.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S obzirom na to da cijena Bitcoina dosti\u017ee najvi\u0161i nivo u posljednjih 18 mjeseci, mo\u017ee se o\u010dekivati odre\u0111ena doza skepticizma i hed\u017eovanja. Me\u0111utim, trenutni uslovi na tr\u017ei\u0161tima derivata pokazuju zdrav rast bez znakova pretjeranog optimizma, \u0161to se sla\u017ee sa optimisti\u010dkim izgledima koji ciljaju na cijene od $40,000 i vi\u0161e do kraja godine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Izvor: Cointelegraph<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Robustni podaci o Bitcoin derivatima ukazuju na sna\u017enu potra\u017enju za polugom dugovanjem. Bitcoin (BTC) trguje u uskom rasponu od 4.5% tokom posljednje dvije nedelje, \u0161to ukazuje na konsolidaciju oko oznake od $34,700. Iako su cijene stagnirale, rast od 24.2% od 7. oktobra uliva poverenje, vo\u0111en o\u010dekivanjima od efekata “halvinga” 2024. godine i potencijalnog odobrenja spot […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":7178,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[48],"tags":[50,67,54,49,51,65,66],"class_list":["post-7175","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-novosti","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitkoin","tag-btc","tag-crypto","tag-crypto-currency","tag-kripto","tag-kriptovaluta"],"yoast_head":"\nPodaci isti\u010du potencijalni put Bitcoina ka 40.000 dolara usred globalne ekonomske turbulencije - CryptoAdria Portal<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/2023\/11\/08\/podaci-isticu-potencijalni-put-bitcoina-ka-40-000-dolara-usred-globalne-ekonomske-turbulencije\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Podaci isti\u010du potencijalni put Bitcoina ka 40.000 dolara usred globalne ekonomske turbulencije - CryptoAdria Portal\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Robustni podaci o Bitcoin derivatima ukazuju na sna\u017enu potra\u017enju za polugom dugovanjem. Bitcoin (BTC) trguje u uskom rasponu od 4.5% tokom posljednje dvije nedelje, \u0161to ukazuje na konsolidaciju oko oznake od $34,700. Iako su cijene stagnirale, rast od 24.2% od 7. oktobra uliva poverenje, vo\u0111en o\u010dekivanjima od efekata “halvinga” 2024. godine i potencijalnog odobrenja spot […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/2023\/11\/08\/podaci-isticu-potencijalni-put-bitcoina-ka-40-000-dolara-usred-globalne-ekonomske-turbulencije\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"CryptoAdria Portal\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/cryptoadria\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-11-08T11:39:34+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-11-08T11:39:35+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/Podaci-isticu-potencijalni-put-Bitcoina-ka-40.000-dolara-usred-globalne-ekonomske-turbulencije-Ftrd.jpeg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1434\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"955\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"milica@cryptoadria\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@cryptoadria_com\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@cryptoadria_com\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"milica@cryptoadria\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/2023\/11\/08\/podaci-isticu-potencijalni-put-bitcoina-ka-40-000-dolara-usred-globalne-ekonomske-turbulencije\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/2023\/11\/08\/podaci-isticu-potencijalni-put-bitcoina-ka-40-000-dolara-usred-globalne-ekonomske-turbulencije\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"milica@cryptoadria\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/#\/schema\/person\/6140e741fde8c9a02ca08f4e815ae4a7\"},\"headline\":\"Podaci isti\u010du potencijalni put Bitcoina ka 40.000 dolara usred globalne ekonomske turbulencije\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-11-08T11:39:34+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-11-08T11:39:35+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/2023\/11\/08\/podaci-isticu-potencijalni-put-bitcoina-ka-40-000-dolara-usred-globalne-ekonomske-turbulencije\/\"},\"wordCount\":698,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/2023\/11\/08\/podaci-isticu-potencijalni-put-bitcoina-ka-40-000-dolara-usred-globalne-ekonomske-turbulencije\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/Podaci-isticu-potencijalni-put-Bitcoina-ka-40.000-dolara-usred-globalne-ekonomske-turbulencije-Ftrd.jpeg\",\"keywords\":[\"Bitcoin\",\"Bitkoin\",\"BTC\",\"Crypto\",\"Crypto Currency\",\"Kripto\",\"Kriptovaluta\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Novosti\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/2023\/11\/08\/podaci-isticu-potencijalni-put-bitcoina-ka-40-000-dolara-usred-globalne-ekonomske-turbulencije\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/2023\/11\/08\/podaci-isticu-potencijalni-put-bitcoina-ka-40-000-dolara-usred-globalne-ekonomske-turbulencije\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/2023\/11\/08\/podaci-isticu-potencijalni-put-bitcoina-ka-40-000-dolara-usred-globalne-ekonomske-turbulencije\/\",\"name\":\"Podaci isti\u010du potencijalni put Bitcoina ka 40.000 dolara usred globalne ekonomske turbulencije - 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Bitcoin (BTC) trguje u uskom rasponu od 4.5% tokom posljednje dvije nedelje, \u0161to ukazuje na konsolidaciju oko oznake od $34,700. 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