{"id":5868,"date":"2023-09-05T12:46:02","date_gmt":"2023-09-05T12:46:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/?p=5868"},"modified":"2023-09-05T12:46:27","modified_gmt":"2023-09-05T12:46:27","slug":"podaci-o-fjucersima-bitkoina-nagovestavaju-22-hiljade-dolara-kao-sledeci-logican-korak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/2023\/09\/05\/podaci-o-fjucersima-bitkoina-nagovestavaju-22-hiljade-dolara-kao-sledeci-logican-korak\/","title":{"rendered":"Podaci o fju\u010dersima bitkoina nagovje\u0161tavaju 22 hiljade dolara kao slede\u0107i logi\u010dan korak"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Derivati \u200b\u200bBTC-a su se smanjili nakon \u0161to Bitcoin nije uspio uspostaviti bikovski zamah uprkos pove\u0107anim izgledima za spot ETF.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bitcoin korekcija cene na 22.000 dolara postaje sve vjerovatnija, po\u0161to su BTC derivati \u200b\u200bpo\u010deli da pokazuju padove.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Grafikon cijena Bitcoina ne ostavlja nikakvu sumnju da se raspolo\u017eenje investitora pogor\u0161alo nakon mnogo nagla\u0161ene pravne pobjede Grayscalea protiv Komisije za vrijednosne papire i berze Sjedinjenih Dr\u017eava 29. avgusta i naknadnog odlaganja SEC-ovih zahtjeva za vi\u0161estruke zahtjeve BTC fondova kojima se trguje na berzi (ETF).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Centralno pitanje ostaje da li izgledi za ETF mogu nadma\u0161iti rastu\u0107e rizike.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Spot Bitcoin ETF hype blijedi<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Do 18. augusta, cijeli rast od 19% koji se dogodio nakon inicijalne prijave BlackRock-a na ETF-u potpuno se povukao jer se Bitcoin vratio na 26.000 dolara.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zatim je do\u0161lo do neuspjelog poku\u0161aja da se povrati podr\u0161ka od 28.000 dolara jer su investitori podigli izglede za odobrenje ETF-a nakon pozitivnih vijesti u vezi sa zahtjevom za povjerenje u bitkoin Grayscale-a.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Moral investitora u kriptovalute se pogor\u0161ao kako je indeks S&P 500 1. septembra zatvorio na 4.515, \u0161to je samo 6,3% ispod svog istorijskog maksimuma iz januara 2022. godine. \u010cak i zlato, koje nije uspjelo probiti iznad nivoa od 2.000 dolara od sredine maja, je 6,5% udaljen od svog maksimuma svih vremena. Shodno tome, op\u0161ti osje\u0107aj za Bitcoin investitore samo sedam mjeseci prije njegovog prepolovljenja 2024. godine je svakako manje pozitivan od o\u010dekivanog.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neki analiti\u010dari navode slabe performanse Bitcoina na teku\u0107e regulatorne radnje protiv dvije vode\u0107e berze, Binance i Coinbase. \u0160tavi\u0161e, vi\u0161e izvora tvrdi da \u0107e Ministarstvo pravde SAD-a (DOJ) vjerovatno optu\u017eiti Binance u krivi\u010dnoj istrazi. Tu\u017ebe su zasnovane na optu\u017ebama o pranju novca i potencijalnom kr\u0161enju sankcija koje uklju\u010duju ruske subjekte.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Glavni investicijski direktor North Node Capitala i pobornik Bitcoina Pentoshi izrazio je trenutne uslove u objavi na X (ranije poznatom kao Twitter):<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Prema Pentoshiju, potencijalni dobici od promptno odobrenja ETF-a nadma\u0161uju uticaj regulatornih akcija na berze na cijenu. Ne postoji na\u010din da se utvrdi da li je takva pretpostavka validna, ali takva analiza ne uzima u obzir da je ameri\u010dka inflacija, mjerena indeksom potro\u0161a\u010dkih cijena, pala na 3,2% u julu 2023. godine sa 9,1% u junu 2022.godine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0160tavi\u0161e, ukupna aktiva ameri\u010dkih Federalnih rezervi smanjena je na 8,12 biliona dolara, \u0161to je pad u odnosu na nedavni maksimum od 8,73 dolara u martu 2023. godine. Ovo signalizira da monetarne vlasti crpe likvidnost sa tr\u017ei\u0161ta, \u0161to je \u0161tetno za Bitcoinovu tezu o za\u0161titi od inflacije.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gledaju\u0107i du\u017ei vremenski okvir, cijena bitkoina dr\u017ei nivo od 25.000 dolara od sredine marta, ali bli\u017ei pogled na podatke o derivatima pokazuje da je uvjerenje bikova na testu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bitcoin derivati \u200b\u200bpokazuju smanjenje potra\u017enje od strane bikova<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Mjese\u010dne fju\u010derse bitkoina obi\u010dno se trguju uz blagu premiju u odnosu na spot tr\u017ei\u0161ta, \u0161to ukazuje da prodavci tra\u017ee vi\u0161e novca kako bi odgodili poravnanje. Kao rezultat toga, BTC fju\u010ders ugovori na zdravim tr\u017ei\u0161tima trebali bi se trgovati sa 5 do 10% godi\u0161nje premije – situacija poznata kao contango, koja nije jedinstvena za kripto tr\u017ei\u0161ta.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Trenutna premija za fju\u010derse Bitcoina od 3,5% (osnovna stopa) je na najni\u017eoj ta\u010dki od sredine juna, prije nego \u0161to je BlackRock podnio zahtjev za spot ETF. Ovaj indikator odra\u017eava smanjenu potra\u017enju za kupcima poluge koji koriste ugovore o derivatima.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trgovci bi tako\u0111e trebali analizirati tr\u017ei\u0161ta opcija kako bi shvatili da li je nedavna korekcija dovela do toga da investitori postanu manje optimisti\u010dni. Delta skew od 25% je znak koji govori kada arbitra\u017eni stolovi i market mejkeri preskupe za za\u0161titu nagore ili nadole.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ukratko, ako trgovci o\u010dekuju pad cijene Bitcoina, metrika iskrivljenosti \u0107e porasti iznad 7%, a faze uzbu\u0111enja imaju tendenciju da imaju negativnih 7% iskrivljenosti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Kao \u0161to je gore prikazano, 25% delta skew opcija je nedavno u\u0161ao u teritoriju medvjeda, sa za\u0161titnim put (prodaja) opcijama koje su se trgovale sa premijom od 9% 4. septembra u pore\u0111enju sa sli\u010dnim call (kupovinim) opcijama.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

BTC fju\u010dersi nagove\u0161tavaju slede\u0107e 22.000 dolara<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Podaci o bitkoin derivatima sugeri\u0161u da medvje\u0111i zamah dobija na snazi, pogotovo jer bi odobrenje spot ETF-a potencijalno moglo biti odgo\u0111eno do 2024. godine, s obzirom na zabrinutost SEC-a o nedostatku mjera za sprje\u010davanje zna\u010dajnog dijela trgovanja na neregulisanim of\u0161or berzama zasnovanim na stablecoins.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

U me\u0111uvremenu, neizvjesnost u regulatornom okru\u017eenju ide u prilog medvjedima, jer ne postoji na\u010din da se odbaci strah, nesigurnost i sumnje oko potencijalnih radnji DOJ-a ili teku\u0107ih tu\u017ebi protiv razmjena od strane SEC-a.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kona\u010dno, povratak na 22.000 dolara \u2013 nivo koji je posljednji put vi\u0111en kada je premija za fju\u010derse Bitcoina iznosila 3,5% \u2013 je najvjerovatniji scenarij, s obzirom na nedavnu nemogu\u0107nost da se odr\u017ei pozitivan zamah cijene uprkos pove\u0107anim \u0161ansama za spotsko odobrenje Bitcoin ETF-a.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Izvor: Cointelegraph<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Derivati \u200b\u200bBTC-a su se smanjili nakon \u0161to Bitcoin nije uspio uspostaviti bikovski zamah uprkos pove\u0107anim izgledima za spot ETF. Bitcoin korekcija cene na 22.000 dolara postaje sve vjerovatnija, po\u0161to su BTC derivati \u200b\u200bpo\u010deli da pokazuju padove. Grafikon cijena Bitcoina ne ostavlja nikakvu sumnju da se raspolo\u017eenje investitora pogor\u0161alo nakon mnogo nagla\u0161ene pravne pobjede Grayscalea protiv Komisije za […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":5873,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[48,205],"tags":[50,67,54,49,51,65,66],"class_list":["post-5868","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-novosti","category-trading","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitkoin","tag-btc","tag-crypto","tag-crypto-currency","tag-kripto","tag-kriptovaluta"],"yoast_head":"\nPodaci o fju\u010dersima bitkoina nagovje\u0161tavaju 22 hiljade dolara kao slede\u0107i logi\u010dan korak - CryptoAdria Portal<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/2023\/09\/05\/podaci-o-fjucersima-bitkoina-nagovestavaju-22-hiljade-dolara-kao-sledeci-logican-korak\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Podaci o fju\u010dersima bitkoina nagovje\u0161tavaju 22 hiljade dolara kao slede\u0107i logi\u010dan korak - CryptoAdria Portal\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Derivati \u200b\u200bBTC-a su se smanjili nakon \u0161to Bitcoin nije uspio uspostaviti bikovski zamah uprkos pove\u0107anim izgledima za spot ETF. 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Bitcoin korekcija cene na 22.000 dolara postaje sve vjerovatnija, po\u0161to su BTC derivati \u200b\u200bpo\u010deli da pokazuju padove. 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