{"id":5490,"date":"2023-08-25T12:52:56","date_gmt":"2023-08-25T12:52:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/?p=5490"},"modified":"2023-08-25T12:52:57","modified_gmt":"2023-08-25T12:52:57","slug":"bitcoin-i-kripto-sudbina-u-jackson-holeu-sta-ocekivati","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/2023\/08\/25\/bitcoin-i-kripto-sudbina-u-jackson-holeu-sta-ocekivati\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin i kripto sudbina u Jackson Holeu?\u00a0\u0160ta o\u010dekivati"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Za nekoliko sati, Bitcoin i finansijska zajednica \u0107e biti zalijepljeni za svoje ekrane dok se predsjednik Fed-a Jerome Powell obra\u0107a na simpozijumu Jackson Hole u 10:05 EST.\u00a0O\u010dekuje se da \u0107e njegove primjedbe uticati ne samo na tradicionalna tr\u017ei\u0161ta poput dionica i roba, ve\u0107 i na nestabilna podru\u010dja Bitcoina i kriptovaluta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pozadina za Bitcoin i \u0161ire kripto tr\u017ei\u0161te je daleko od stabilne.\u00a0Nedavni\u00a0krah\u00a0od pro\u0161log \u010detvrtka jo\u0161 uvijek traje, bacaju\u0107i sjenu neizvjesnosti.\u00a0Doga\u0111aj Jackson Hole, istorijski katalizator kretanja tr\u017ei\u0161ta, spreman je da uvede novu volatilnost.\u00a0Smjer ove volatilnosti \u2013 bikovski ili medvje\u0111i \u2013 uglavnom zavisi od Pauelovog tona: jastrebov ili golubi\u010dasti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0160ta o\u010dekivati \u200b\u200bod Jeromea Powella?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Prije godinu dana, Pauelova neo\u010dekivana revizija njegovog govora izazvala je \u0161okove kroz finansijski ekosistem, uzrokuju\u0107i pad dionica, bitkoina i drugih kriptovaluta, \u0161to je pogor\u0161alo globalno medvje\u0111e tr\u017ei\u0161te.\u00a0To je mnoge navelo da se zapitaju: “da li dobijamo jo\u0161 jedno jastrebsko iznena\u0111enje?”\u00a0Me\u0111utim, preovla\u0111uju\u0107e mi\u0161ljenje je da Powell ovoga puta mo\u017eda ne\u0107e baciti nijednu bombu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPM-ov Market Intel desk\u00a0je mi\u0161ljenja, \u201cFed je striktno zavisan od podataka i da \u0107e svaka pauza biti okarakterisana kao ‘jastrebov preskakanje’ kako bi se zadr\u017eala opcija.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bank of America, sa druge strane, ima svoj skup o\u010dekivanja.\u00a0Banka predvi\u0111a da \u0107e Pauel ponovo potvrditi odanost Fed-a svom cilju inflacije od 2 odsto.\u00a0Uprkos odre\u0111enom napretku, Powell \u0107e vjerovatno naglasiti da jo\u0161 uvijek postoji zna\u010dajan teren za pokrivanje.\u00a0Shodno tome, banka predvi\u0111a produ\u017eenu fazu restriktivne politike.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Oslanjaju\u0107i se na Powellove komentare na julskoj konferenciji za novinare, gdje je priznao uravnote\u017eenije rizike koji okru\u017euju uticaj na politiku Fed-a, Bank of America (BoA) spekuli\u0161e da bi se njegov ton prema Jackson Holeu mogao promijeniti.\u00a0Ovo posebno imaju\u0107i u vidu ve\u0107i nego \u0161to se o\u010dekivalo BDP u drugom kvartalu od 2,4% i rast od 1,0% u julskoj maloprodaji biv\u0161ih automobila.\u00a0BoA se priprema za Powella da se suprotstavi o\u010dekivanim porastima kamatnih stopa u narednoj godini, s obzirom na ove robusne brojke i potencijalne inflatorne pritiske koje oni ozna\u010davaju.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tvit Waltera Bloomberga ranije danas sadr\u017eavao je sentiment: “O\u010dekuje se da \u0107e Fed raditi ‘vi\u0161e du\u017ee’ u Jackson Holeu.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u017eulijan Brigden iz Macro Intelligence 2 je ocenio\u00a0:<\/a>\u00a0\u201eOni \u0107e nastaviti da dr\u017ee ovu vrstu Damoklovog ma\u010da u obliku mo\u017eda jo\u0161 25 baznih poena pove\u0107anja stope, istovremeno nagla\u0161avaju\u0107i da ne\u0107e uskoro smanjiti.\u201c\u00a0Brigdenovi izgledi sugeri\u0161u da \u0107e inflacija ostati iznad cilja, ostavljaju\u0107i malo prostora za golublji stav.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bitcoin i kripto nastava za Jackson Hole<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Za Bitcoin i kripto investitore, pitanje od milion dolara je da li \u0107e Bitcoin, koji se suo\u010dio sa padom nakon Jackson Holea 2022. godine, ove godine svjedo\u010diti suprotnom.\u00a0Keith Alan, osniva\u010d Material Indicators,\u00a0skrenuo je\u00a0pa\u017enju na obrasce uo\u010dene u cjenovnoj akciji Bitcoina.\u00a0\u201cPro\u0161le godine, uo\u010di Pauelovog govora, Bitcoin je pro\u0161ao kroz klju\u010dne nivoe tehni\u010dke podr\u0161ke.\u00a0Sada vidimo sli\u010dne obrasce\u201d, primijetio je Alan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On je istakao nedavne testove i gubitke 21-dnevnih, 50-dnevnih, 100-dnevnih i 200-nedeljnih pokretnih proseka, povla\u010de\u0107i paralele sa pona\u0161anjem iz prethodne godine. Me\u0111utim, Alan je pozvao na oprez, navode\u0107i: \u201eSli\u010dnosti u trenutnoj akciji cijena ne garantuju ponavljanje pro\u0161le godine. Od tada se bazna inflacija smanjila, a Powellove su primjedbe bile odmjerenije. Smjer tr\u017ei\u0161ta ostaje neizvjestan, ali je pripremljeno za zna\u010dajan korak.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Naglasio je potrebu za budno\u0161\u0107u i spremno\u0161\u0107u, zaklju\u010div\u0161i: \u201eMoramo biti svjesni ovih obrazaca, ali ne pretjerati. Powellove rije\u010di \u0107e nesumnjivo uticati na tr\u017ei\u0161ta. Pravilno upravljanje rizikom je klju\u010dno.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

U zaklju\u010dku, dok finansijski svijet \u010deka Pauelovo obra\u0107anje, konsenzus je jasan: njegove rije\u010di \u0107e oblikovati tr\u017ei\u0161ta, ali smjer ostaje da se vidi.\u00a0U vrijeme \u0161tampe, cijena bitkoina je ostala nepromijenjena, trgovaju\u0107i se na 26.082 dolara.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Izvor: Bitcoinist.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Za nekoliko sati, Bitcoin i finansijska zajednica \u0107e biti zalijepljeni za svoje ekrane dok se predsjednik Fed-a Jerome Powell obra\u0107a na simpozijumu Jackson Hole u 10:05 EST.\u00a0O\u010dekuje se da \u0107e njegove primjedbe uticati ne samo na tradicionalna tr\u017ei\u0161ta poput dionica i roba, ve\u0107 i na nestabilna podru\u010dja Bitcoina i kriptovaluta. Pozadina za Bitcoin i \u0161ire […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":5492,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[48],"tags":[50,67,54,49,51,220,65,66],"class_list":["post-5490","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-novosti","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitkoin","tag-btc","tag-crypto","tag-crypto-currency","tag-jackson-holeu","tag-kripto","tag-kriptovaluta"],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin i kripto sudbina u Jackson Holeu?\u00a0\u0160ta o\u010dekivati - CryptoAdria Portal<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/2023\/08\/25\/bitcoin-i-kripto-sudbina-u-jackson-holeu-sta-ocekivati\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin i kripto sudbina u Jackson Holeu?\u00a0\u0160ta o\u010dekivati - CryptoAdria Portal\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Za nekoliko sati, Bitcoin i finansijska zajednica \u0107e biti zalijepljeni za svoje ekrane dok se predsjednik Fed-a Jerome Powell obra\u0107a na simpozijumu Jackson Hole u 10:05 EST.\u00a0O\u010dekuje se da \u0107e njegove primjedbe uticati ne samo na tradicionalna tr\u017ei\u0161ta poput dionica i roba, ve\u0107 i na nestabilna podru\u010dja Bitcoina i kriptovaluta. 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