{"id":3321,"date":"2023-08-10T12:29:57","date_gmt":"2023-08-10T12:29:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/?p=3321"},"modified":"2023-08-25T11:15:12","modified_gmt":"2023-08-25T11:15:12","slug":"objavljivanje-podataka-o-cpi-u-mogu-li-bitcoin-i-crypto-vidjeti-neocekivano-povecanje","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/2023\/08\/10\/objavljivanje-podataka-o-cpi-u-mogu-li-bitcoin-i-crypto-vidjeti-neocekivano-povecanje\/","title":{"rendered":"Objavljivanje podataka o CPI-u: Mogu li Bitcoin i Crypto vidjeti neo\u010dekivano pove\u0107anje?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Nakon dana\u0161njeg objavljivanja podataka Indeksa potro\u0161a\u010dkih cijena (CPI) u 8:30 EST (12:30 GMT), tr\u017ei\u0161te bitkoina i kriptovaluta je na ivici svog sjedi\u0161ta. Uz tradicionalna tr\u017ei\u0161ta i centralne banke koje pa\u017eljivo prate metriku inflacije, efekti talasa na tr\u017ei\u0161te digitalne imovine mogli bi biti duboki.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Wall Street se priprema za julske podatke o CPI, uz o\u010dekivanja da \u0107e i glavni i osnovni indeksi porasti za 0,2% od juna. Ovo bi prilagodilo 12-mjese\u010dni osnovni CPI na 4,7% sa junskih 4,8%, dok se predvi\u0111a da \u0107e glavni indeks (YoY) porasti na 3,3% sa junskih 3,0%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Thomas Lee iz Fundstrat Global Advisors-a oglasio se na Twitteru, navode\u0107i: \u201eJulski CPI \u0107e biti otkri\u0107e. Dalje je razradio potencijalne ishode: \u201eAko >0,3% mama = lo\u0161e. Ako je <0,2% mama = dobro.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zanimljivo je da ve\u0107ina stru\u010dnjaka o\u010dekuje da \u0107e se inflacija ponovo pove\u0107ati u narednim mjesecima. Prema prognozama Cleveland Fed-a, glavna inflacija CPI na godi\u0161njem nivou \u0107e do\u017eivjeti stalan rast: sa prijavljenih 3,0% u junu 2023. godine, o\u010dekuje se da \u0107e porasti na 3,4% u julu i dalje na 4,1% u avgustu. Mnogi investitori se oslanjaju na prognozu Cleveland Fed-a.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Projekcije JP Morgan-a tako\u0111e signaliziraju ponovno ubrzanje ameri\u010dkog CPI-a, pri \u010demu se o\u010dekuje da \u0107e jul, avgust i septembar biti 3,33%, 3,46% i 3,32% na godi\u0161njem nivou.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mogu li Bitcoin i Crypto dobiti iznena\u0111enje?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Nedavna dubinska analiza Fundstrata ukazuje na potencijalno pozitivno iznena\u0111enje za finansijska tr\u017ei\u0161ta. \u201eNa\u0161 tim za nauku o podacima o\u010dekuje da \u0107e Core CPI iznositi +0,15% ili bolje mjese\u010dno\u201c, navodi se u izvje\u0161taju. Ovo je zna\u010dajno ispod konsenzusnih procjena od +0,22%. Analiti\u010dari tvrde da je prognoza Cleveland Fed-a pogre\u0161na jer je model relativno jednostavan model sa devet varijabli, izostavljaju\u0107i klju\u010dne dezinflatorne katalizatore.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analiza nagla\u0161ava ogroman doprinos polovnih automobila i stanova inflaciji. \u201eMnogi investitori zabrinuti zbog toga \u0161to \u0107e inflacija ponovo rasti…ali investitori zanemaruju da polovni automobili i stambeni prostori tako veliki doprinose inflaciji.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ovo predvi\u0111anje je usidreno u dezinflatornim pritiscima izazvanim padom cijena polovnih automobila i zahla\u0111enjem stambenog tr\u017ei\u0161ta. Od kraja 2019. godine, automobili i skloni\u0161ta su \u010dinili zna\u010dajnih 66% pove\u0107anja osnovnih cijena. Ako ovi sektori nastave sa trendom hla\u0111enja, ukupna stopa inflacije bi mogla biti smanjena.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

U skladu sa tim, ako se podaci o indeksu potro\u0161a\u010dkih cijena podudaraju sa predvi\u0111anjima Fundstrata, to bi moglo dovesti do golubljeg stava Federalnih rezervi. To bi, zauzvrat, moglo oslabiti ameri\u010dki dolar, pru\u017eaju\u0107i potencijalni poticaj za Bitcoin i kriptovalute.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analiti\u010dar \u201cMaterial Indicators\u201d je istakao va\u017enost likvidnosti na tr\u017ei\u0161tu, posebno uo\u010di zna\u010dajnih objavljivanja podataka kao \u0161to je CPI. “Ono \u0161to je va\u017eno izme\u0111u sada i tada je gdje je likvidnost naslagana i gdje je tanka”, napomenuli su, nagovje\u0161tavaju\u0107i potencijal za brza kretanja cijena na kripto tr\u017ei\u0161tu. Podru\u010dja na 29.000 dolara na dole i 30.000 na gore ostaju klju\u010dne oblasti podr\u0161ke i otpora u ovom trenutku.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Kako je to Thomas Lee prikladno rekao, ovo izdanje bi trebalo da bude \u201eotkrivaju\u0107e\u201c. Ostaje da se vidi da li \u0107e ovo otkri\u0107e biti u korist bitkoina i kripto bikova ili medveda. Upravo sada, tr\u017ei\u0161na cijena iznosi 85% \u0161anse da ne do\u0111e do pove\u0107anja stope na sljede\u0107em sastanku u septembru prema FedWatch alatu. Bi\u0107e zanimljivo vidjeti ho\u0107e li dana\u0161nji CPI izvje\u0161taj to promijeniti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

U vrijeme \u0161tampe, cijena bitkoina je iznosila 29.565 dolara.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Izvor: Bitcoinist.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nakon dana\u0161njeg objavljivanja podataka Indeksa potro\u0161a\u010dkih cijena (CPI) u 8:30 EST (12:30 GMT), tr\u017ei\u0161te bitkoina i kriptovaluta je na ivici svog sjedi\u0161ta. Uz tradicionalna tr\u017ei\u0161ta i centralne banke koje pa\u017eljivo prate metriku inflacije, efekti talasa na tr\u017ei\u0161te digitalne imovine mogli bi biti duboki. Wall Street se priprema za julske podatke o CPI, uz o\u010dekivanja da \u0107e […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":3324,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[48,205],"tags":[50,67,54,127,49,51,65,66],"class_list":["post-3321","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-novosti","category-trading","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitkoin","tag-btc","tag-cpi","tag-crypto","tag-crypto-currency","tag-kripto","tag-kriptovaluta"],"yoast_head":"\nObjavljivanje podataka o CPI-u: Mogu li Bitcoin i Crypto vidjeti neo\u010dekivano pove\u0107anje? - CryptoAdria Portal<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/2023\/08\/10\/objavljivanje-podataka-o-cpi-u-mogu-li-bitcoin-i-crypto-vidjeti-neocekivano-povecanje\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Objavljivanje podataka o CPI-u: Mogu li Bitcoin i Crypto vidjeti neo\u010dekivano pove\u0107anje? - CryptoAdria Portal\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Nakon dana\u0161njeg objavljivanja podataka Indeksa potro\u0161a\u010dkih cijena (CPI) u 8:30 EST (12:30 GMT), tr\u017ei\u0161te bitkoina i kriptovaluta je na ivici svog sjedi\u0161ta. Uz tradicionalna tr\u017ei\u0161ta i centralne banke koje pa\u017eljivo prate metriku inflacije, efekti talasa na tr\u017ei\u0161te digitalne imovine mogli bi biti duboki. Wall Street se priprema za julske podatke o CPI, uz o\u010dekivanja da \u0107e […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/2023\/08\/10\/objavljivanje-podataka-o-cpi-u-mogu-li-bitcoin-i-crypto-vidjeti-neocekivano-povecanje\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"CryptoAdria Portal\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/cryptoadria\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-08-10T12:29:57+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-08-25T11:15:12+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/Objavljivanje-podataka-o-CPI-u-Mogu-li-Bitcoin-i-Crypto-vidjeti-neocekivano-povecanje-Ftrd.jpeg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1024\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"682\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"milica@cryptoadria\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@cryptoadria_com\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@cryptoadria_com\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"milica@cryptoadria\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/2023\/08\/10\/objavljivanje-podataka-o-cpi-u-mogu-li-bitcoin-i-crypto-vidjeti-neocekivano-povecanje\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/2023\/08\/10\/objavljivanje-podataka-o-cpi-u-mogu-li-bitcoin-i-crypto-vidjeti-neocekivano-povecanje\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"milica@cryptoadria\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/#\/schema\/person\/6140e741fde8c9a02ca08f4e815ae4a7\"},\"headline\":\"Objavljivanje podataka o CPI-u: Mogu li Bitcoin i Crypto vidjeti neo\u010dekivano pove\u0107anje?\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-08-10T12:29:57+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-08-25T11:15:12+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/2023\/08\/10\/objavljivanje-podataka-o-cpi-u-mogu-li-bitcoin-i-crypto-vidjeti-neocekivano-povecanje\/\"},\"wordCount\":628,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/2023\/08\/10\/objavljivanje-podataka-o-cpi-u-mogu-li-bitcoin-i-crypto-vidjeti-neocekivano-povecanje\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/Objavljivanje-podataka-o-CPI-u-Mogu-li-Bitcoin-i-Crypto-vidjeti-neocekivano-povecanje-Ftrd.jpeg\",\"keywords\":[\"Bitcoin\",\"Bitkoin\",\"BTC\",\"CPI\",\"Crypto\",\"Crypto Currency\",\"Kripto\",\"Kriptovaluta\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Novosti\",\"Trading\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/2023\/08\/10\/objavljivanje-podataka-o-cpi-u-mogu-li-bitcoin-i-crypto-vidjeti-neocekivano-povecanje\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/2023\/08\/10\/objavljivanje-podataka-o-cpi-u-mogu-li-bitcoin-i-crypto-vidjeti-neocekivano-povecanje\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/2023\/08\/10\/objavljivanje-podataka-o-cpi-u-mogu-li-bitcoin-i-crypto-vidjeti-neocekivano-povecanje\/\",\"name\":\"Objavljivanje podataka o CPI-u: Mogu li Bitcoin i Crypto vidjeti neo\u010dekivano pove\u0107anje? 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Wall Street se priprema za julske podatke o CPI, uz o\u010dekivanja da \u0107e […]","og_url":"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/2023\/08\/10\/objavljivanje-podataka-o-cpi-u-mogu-li-bitcoin-i-crypto-vidjeti-neocekivano-povecanje\/","og_site_name":"CryptoAdria Portal","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/cryptoadria","article_published_time":"2023-08-10T12:29:57+00:00","article_modified_time":"2023-08-25T11:15:12+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1024,"height":682,"url":"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/Objavljivanje-podataka-o-CPI-u-Mogu-li-Bitcoin-i-Crypto-vidjeti-neocekivano-povecanje-Ftrd.jpeg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"milica@cryptoadria","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@cryptoadria_com","twitter_site":"@cryptoadria_com","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"milica@cryptoadria","Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/2023\/08\/10\/objavljivanje-podataka-o-cpi-u-mogu-li-bitcoin-i-crypto-vidjeti-neocekivano-povecanje\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/2023\/08\/10\/objavljivanje-podataka-o-cpi-u-mogu-li-bitcoin-i-crypto-vidjeti-neocekivano-povecanje\/"},"author":{"name":"milica@cryptoadria","@id":"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/#\/schema\/person\/6140e741fde8c9a02ca08f4e815ae4a7"},"headline":"Objavljivanje podataka o CPI-u: Mogu li Bitcoin i Crypto vidjeti neo\u010dekivano pove\u0107anje?","datePublished":"2023-08-10T12:29:57+00:00","dateModified":"2023-08-25T11:15:12+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/2023\/08\/10\/objavljivanje-podataka-o-cpi-u-mogu-li-bitcoin-i-crypto-vidjeti-neocekivano-povecanje\/"},"wordCount":628,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/2023\/08\/10\/objavljivanje-podataka-o-cpi-u-mogu-li-bitcoin-i-crypto-vidjeti-neocekivano-povecanje\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/Objavljivanje-podataka-o-CPI-u-Mogu-li-Bitcoin-i-Crypto-vidjeti-neocekivano-povecanje-Ftrd.jpeg","keywords":["Bitcoin","Bitkoin","BTC","CPI","Crypto","Crypto Currency","Kripto","Kriptovaluta"],"articleSection":["Novosti","Trading"],"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/2023\/08\/10\/objavljivanje-podataka-o-cpi-u-mogu-li-bitcoin-i-crypto-vidjeti-neocekivano-povecanje\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/2023\/08\/10\/objavljivanje-podataka-o-cpi-u-mogu-li-bitcoin-i-crypto-vidjeti-neocekivano-povecanje\/","url":"https:\/\/cryptoadria.com\/portal\/2023\/08\/10\/objavljivanje-podataka-o-cpi-u-mogu-li-bitcoin-i-crypto-vidjeti-neocekivano-povecanje\/","name":"Objavljivanje podataka o CPI-u: Mogu li Bitcoin i Crypto vidjeti neo\u010dekivano pove\u0107anje? 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